Monday, February 9, 2015

Delhi election possibilities

Delhi election opens up interesting possibilities
scenario 1 : AAP wins with majority, BJP second, Congress third
consequence :
-Mr. Modi will no longer be invincible - advani camp retaliates with the help of disgruntled old battalion.
-Opposition gets reignited, stalls the government ( the same game BJP played with UPA) with a tacit support of Modi adversaries in BJP. Government loses its face. Trade unions who are already preparing for the big strike, hits the bulls eye. Anna Hazare, lokpal bill, black money all roles out one after the other.
- Add to fire, AAP raises the issue of complete statehood for Delhi. Delhi becomes the potboiler again.
-Modi brand crashes and Amit shah emerges as black sheep. (he must have been already positioning himself, if one takes look at the recent membership enrollment poster of BJP it is clearly visible who is the leader and who is only a poster boy- a scenario RSS wants desperately where it becomes the kingsmile emoticon )
- RSS allows the scenario to become worse so as to become powerful last word.
- BJP crumbles.
Scenario 2: No one gets majority and congress becomes the king maker
consequence :
- with so many unreliable candidates this time around in AAP. MLAs are poached by BJP and forms Government.
-Congress acts reluctant allows the fight between AAP and BJP builds to high decibel
-Supports AAP to stop the government from functioning.
- With Anna Hazare lokpal strike AAP with its victim image flares up passion again on streets.
- Power struggle breaks out in BJP Delhi government.
- Frustrated Kiran bedi gets replaced much faster than the speed with which she became the cm candidate.
- With trade union strike, anna hazare, black money and other crisis, Center government loses its face. ----goes to the previous paragraph
scenario 3: BJP gets majority forms government.
-power politics starts in BJP to undermine Kiran bedi.
- AAP strikes back along with Anna hazare. Delhi chokes again. goes to second half of scenario 2
Last but not the least: Whatever be the result, BJP's honeymoon period is over and with performance is at stake, the government might take the worst route for face lift- the usual war cry with Pakistan frown emoticon

No comments:

Post a Comment